MY PHILOSOPHY

Be civil to all; sociable to many; familiar with few; friend to one; enemy to none.
Ben Franklin

Friday, November 03, 2006

Predictions

I normally don't make predictions about elections, but for some reason I feel a certain impulse to do so about the outcome of the national races that are afoot.

The Dems will make gains in the House and Senate, but I think they will not pull off the big prize. In the Senate, they will gain enough to narrow the GOP majority, but the GOP will hold out. The same with the House.

Current trends indicate that GOP incumbents who were considered threatened are holding on and/or making some advances.

At this particular snapshot, I will say GOP holds VA, TN, MT, MO, AZ. Maryland is a possible pick-up that will offset PA or RI or OH. Minnesota was supposed to be a pick-up, but it does not look that way now. Current polling shows the Dem with a double-digit lead for the Dems to retain this seat. Santorum, Chafee and DeWine appear to be in serious trouble. Of the three, conservative stalwart, Santorum would be a great loss. Conservatives can live without the feckless Chafee and the malignant dwarf DeWine.

So, I'm saying in the Senate, Dems +3 maybe +4.

No comments: